Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.203799 0.231740 0.261702 0.296175 0.334693 0.376354 0.424776
2026-01-11 0.166193 0.203569 0.246323 0.298672 0.360856 0.432167 0.519934
2026-01-18 0.141706 0.184984 0.237282 0.304752 0.389070 0.490510 0.621289
2026-01-25 0.124298 0.171648 0.231687 0.312741 0.418551 0.551145 0.728906
2026-02-01 0.107331 0.156105 0.220739 0.311669 0.435122 0.595550 0.818201
2026-02-08 0.093740 0.143021 0.211023 0.310349 0.450061 0.637622 0.906063
2026-02-15 0.082585 0.131763 0.202227 0.308771 0.463571 0.677625 0.992617
2026-02-22 0.075651 0.125706 0.199911 0.315651 0.488745 0.734451 1.104985
2026-03-01 0.067944 0.117475 0.193371 0.315360 0.502931 0.775930 1.197308
2026-03-08 0.061425 0.110306 0.187601 0.315410 0.517113 0.817613 1.291563
2026-03-15 0.055882 0.104065 0.182578 0.315939 0.531638 0.860099 1.388707
2026-03-22 0.051946 0.100079 0.180732 0.321182 0.553541 0.914543 1.506312
2026-03-29 0.048687 0.097065 0.180433 0.329262 0.581072 0.980127 1.646232
2026-04-05 0.044813 0.092504 0.177051 0.331807 0.599596 1.032439 1.768057
2026-04-12 0.041964 0.089522 0.176118 0.338387 0.625125 1.097182 1.912912
2026-04-19 0.039690 0.087377 0.176451 0.347112 0.654705 1.169903 2.074164
2026-04-26 0.036307 0.082642 0.171546 0.345907 0.666735 1.213833 2.189734
2026-05-03 0.033246 0.078200 0.166760 0.344443 0.678014 1.256797 2.305429
2026-05-10 0.030466 0.074019 0.162067 0.342702 0.688500 1.298672 2.420931
2026-05-17 0.028941 0.072378 0.162237 0.350256 0.716444 1.372211 2.594331
2026-05-24 0.026753 0.069003 0.158573 0.349935 0.729457 1.419727 2.724019
2026-05-31 0.024801 0.065935 0.155252 0.349988 0.743061 1.468774 2.858385
2026-06-07 0.023066 0.063174 0.152323 0.350570 0.757611 1.520068 2.998844